Oregon State vs California 11/12/2011

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California is a solid favorite with a 65% chance to beat Oregon State. Isi Sofele is projected for 85 rushing yards and a 55% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 35% of simulations where Oregon State wins, Sean Mannion averages 1.95 TD passes vs 0.79 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.1 TDs to 1.08 interceptions. Malcolm Agnew averages 53 rushing yards and 0.7 rushing TDs when Oregon State wins and 47 yards and 0.37 TDs in losses. California has a 38% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 77% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is CAL -10

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